BET THE TRIPLE CROWN

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  • Bet only on horses you feel have a good chance of winning.
  • If you don't like a horse, don't bet on it.
  • Give preference to winners. Choose a horse that has won before.
  • Avoid betting on a horse that has just moved up in class.
  • Look for value odds as much as likely winners. If you keep looking for them, you will learn to spot them fairly quickly.
  • Look for a horse that has a fair chance of winning and is not overly backed. This is usually a good value bet in the long run. On odds of say, 10:1, you need to win once in ten attempts to break even. Anything more is net profit. Horses backed heavily by touting services and computer handicappers may win more often, but are usually poor value bets.
  • When the track is slow or heavy, give preference to fast starters. Slow, muddy and heavy track conditions usually favor the horse that takes an early lead.
  • A straight bet is simple, manageable and not too difficult to win. Play it but always weigh up the odds. Avoid favorites and long shots (outsiders) too. Be selective - don't bet on anything or everything.
  • When betting straight, consider betting to win and show, or each-way, if the odds are relatively high.
  • The following are some general guidelines followed by many pros which will give you a 'leg up' on many other bettors:
  • Be wary of the 'smart money,' bets placed at the last minute by supposedly, those in the know. There isn't much smart money at the tracks.
  • Go with your gut feelings. if there's a horse you fancy, by all means bet on that horse. There's no worse feeling than not doing what you felt you should have done, and it working out - without you. And if it doesn't work out, no big deal.
  • Pay special attention to fast starters on slow courses. It is more difficult to maneuver on an a muddy, slow or heavy course, and these conditions will favor the horse that takes the early lead.
  • Avoid horses moving up in class. They may have looked good against lesser horses, but the move to better competition may reveal different colors.
  • Avoid horses that have not raced in the past four weeks. They may be recuperating from illness and the owners are using the race as a tune-up. The winning percentages of long-idled horses are way below average.
  • Bet only winners. If you see a horse that has been around but never won a race, why figure that today's race will be any different? Instead, choose a horse that has some background of winning.
  • Bet only horses you feel have a good chance of winning. If you had eliminated all the horses you've bet in the past but have not really believed in, you would be sitting with a much higher winning percentage. If you don't like a horse, don't bet on it.



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